Monthly Archives: March 2020

The coronavirus may have made the 2020 election a fait accompli

By Kent R. Kroeger (Source: NuQum.com, March 27, 2020)

Source: RealClearPolitics.com

 

It is (far) too soon to compare the coronavirus to other pandemics

By Kent R. Kroeger (Source: NuQum.com, March 26, 2020)

Source: JHU (CSSE)

Source: Nicholas LePan (VisualCapitalist.com)

U.S. under-counts coronavirus cases

By Kent R. Kroeger (Source: NuQum.com, March 23, 2020)

The Results

How to read the chart: Countries above the line had predicted values higher than actual values; countries below the line had predicted values lower than the actual values. Countries in bold are significant outliers.

How to read the chart: Countries above the line had predicted values higher than actual values; countries below the line had predicted values lower than the actual values. Countries in bold are significant outliers.

Data Sources: WHO, ourworldindata.org (Analysis by Kent R. Kroeger)

APPENDIX:

Variables

Linear regression models

Regression analysis run in JASP by Kent R. Kroeger

Regression analysis run in JASP by Kent R. Kroeger

Residual plots

 

Coincidence and conspiracy theories

By Kent R. Kroeger (Source: NuQum.com; March 21, 2020)

T-shirt sold by the Chinese Association of Iowa commemorating the visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Iowa in February 2012.

 

Is it worth it to identify everyone infected with the coronavirus?

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 16, 2020)

Should Trump dump Pence?

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 14, 2020)

US Representative Elise Stefanik (R-NY)

Source: PredictIt.com

Source: University of Iowa Tippie School of Business.

National wealth, tourism and inexperience are helping drive the spread of the coronavirus

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 12, 2020)

Residual Analysis

Data sources: WHO, World Bank (Analysis by Kent R. Kroeger)

Implications

Personal Thoughts on COVID-19

Appendix: A Regression Model of Confirmed COVID-19 Cases Worldwide (as of 10 March 2020)

Variables

Model Fit

Other Methodological Issues:

Is the Trump administration doing a good job containing the coronavirus?

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 11, 2020)

Biden’s most likely VP choices

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 10, 2020)

Nonetheless, ambitious politicians still want the job, and for good reason: 14 out of 48 vice presidents have gone on to become president (almost 30 percent).

It can be the stepping stone to political immortality, or, you’re Dan Quayle.

California U.S. Senator Kamala Harris

 

Minnesota U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar

Former Georgia Gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams

Massachusetts U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren

The best of the rest (Hillary Clinton, Tammy Duckworth, Pete Buttigieg)

Whistleblowers and partisan politics don’t mix

By Kent R. Kroeger (NuQum.com, March 3, 2020)